The team at Gestaltu recently published two posts on their site regarding an upcoming paper titled "Tactical Alpha: A Quantitative Case for Active Asset Allocation". Such a paper would be interesting to me as my ETF momentum strategy is based on active asset...
Adaptive Asset Allocation and Dual Momentum Investing Using ETF’s
Although I practice systematic trading based on strategies that generate short holding periods I keep an open mind towards other styles of trading. One particular style of trading that has caught my attention recently is ETF momentum systems that require work on only...
Have You Considered the Role of Luck in Your Trading?
Barry Ritholtz recently interviewed Michael Mauboussin, author of The Success Equation. Among many other topics, the two discussed the role luck plays in trading and how difficult it can be to distinguish between luck and skill when most of the participants are highly...
Best Trading Advice For Systematic Traders
If you perform a Google search on the phrase "best trading advice" you will get over 200 million results. That's a lot of advice for a trader! I thought I would share some advice that sounds simple but is actually very comprehensive. I believe it was Australian...
Picking Marbles Out Of A Bag
I am disappointed with my trading performance so far this year and have worked hard to determine if there is a problem with my strategies. I have made some small changes but I should be generating better trade performance than I am. Most of my stock strategies are...
Failing Towards Success in Trading
The past four years have been incredible for US stocks with the S&P 500 up more than 60%. If we could go back in time to March, 2010 and I gave you the option to 1. buy and hold SPY for four years with you knowing the S&P 500 was about to enjoy a fantastic...
The Importance of the Starting Point in Measuring Investment Performance
Lately I have had conversations with investors who can't hold back from telling me how well their stocks have performed in recent years. I'm happy that they have done well but can't overlook the time period that they are considering. It is human nature to place more...
The Impact of Survivorship Bias on Trading Strategy Backtest Results
If you are a trading system developer, in all likelihood you are aware that survivorship bias plays a role in the veracity of backtest results. How much of an impact this bias has varies based on the time period over which the backtest is conducted, the constituents...
New Bet Sizing Research From Ralph Vince
Ralph Vince, Marcos Lopez de Prado and Qiji Jim Zhu just published a new paper titled "Optimal Risk Budgeting Under a Finite Investment Horizon". Here is the abstract: Growth Optimal Portfolio (GOP) theory determines the path of bet sizes that maximize long-term...
Ralph Vince and Position Sizing
I am focusing my efforts currently on improving my trading performance through better position sizing of my trades. If you have done any research into position size optimization you will have come across the works of Ralph Vince who is one of the top experts in...