My model is very cautious now with a 90% allocation to short-term Treasuries. I have to say that the allocation doesn't feel correct but I know how well my model has performed historically so I am following it without question. As seen in the chart below, my...

My models were close to becoming more aggressive and adding US equities this week but a decline in the aggregate US investment-grade bond index has moved my allocations to a more conservative stance.  My market meter has decreased to a negative value which indicates...

A wind of change is in the air as there is an allocation change this week away from equities and into short-term Treasuries. For those of you DIY investors who only trade US equities, you may want to note that my allocations include no US equity ETFs. While it is true...